Latest detailed Covid data for ‘Your Waverley.’

The Waverley Web has been studying the very informative Exel- spreadsheet provided to Waverley councillors and the public by Farnham Residents’ Cllr Jerry Hyman. We have linked it into the page below as it shows in detail, town by town and village by village the spread of COVID-19 – 31 December.

 We believe that any light that can be shone upon the rates of infection by any Waverley councillor has to be appreciated by the public. We found the in-depth statistical information very useful, as it revealed the hotspots in the borough. We have heard on private e-mails that many Farnham and some Cranleigh and eastern villages residents have found it very helpful. Let’s hope it makes us all very wary of what we do and how we do it -doesn’t it? We are not aware that on the official WBC website there such detailed information. Well done Cllr Hyman for the hard work this must have entailed.

Councillors

Farnham Residents’ Cllr. for Firgrove.

Attached is my spreadsheet of the latest PHE Covid case data for the Waverley and surrounding MSOAs, covering tests to Boxing Day.
Farnham, and particularly the North Farnham areas of Upper Hale, Hale, Heath End, Weybourne and Badshot Lea, do appear to be suffering due to spread from Aldershot and perhaps visitors from Guildford (and the train connection to Woking, a recent hotbed of infection).   
South Godalming is bucking the trend, being the only Waverley MSOA with a 7-day rolling Case Rate less than 200.  
Of course, the south Godalming folk should not rest on their laurels, as the mutant virus may have since caught up with them.  The cases reported today are people infected between 7 and 10-14 days ago, and with the effect of pre-Christmas Tier 4 visitors and Christmas Day family mixing yet to be seen, the current situation may be somewhat different. 

You will see the light orange and darker orange hotspots for the period under Cllr Jerry’s microscope a few days earlier. These include – Farnham – to be expected in view of shoppers flooding in from Tier 4 areas when Waverley remained in Tier 2. However, the higher infection rate in small villages such as Witley and Wormley – are not easily explained. Could this be as a result of schools – such as `King Edwards – or perhaps Surrey County Council’s decision to send everyone from the eastern villages to the Witley dump? Cranleigh’s recycling centre is only open for certain materials on a Monday and at weekends so it’s off to Witley they all are forced to go?

The infection rate in Cranleigh is growing, as is Godalming where its popular shops had a burst of activity shortly before Christmas.

Waverley COVID-19 Cases 29 Dec, 3 sheets

The latest on schools in Waverley is as follows:

As far as I can see, this is the situation:
-Primary Schools- January 4th
-Secondary Schools- Years 11 & 13 January 11th.
 All other years January 18th
Just to add, this is a government decision and not a council decision.
Cllr Paul Follows
Deputy Leader, Waverley Borough Council
Leader, Godalming Town Council

Judging by some of the comments coming from junior doctors – remember the guys and gals our MP Jeremy Hunt had a fight with a while back when he was Secretary of State for Health? Here’s what one told us.

“Just spoke with a junior doctor. She’s broken. Physically and mentally exhausted. Her hospital is on the verge of not being able to cope. Strongly believes that without public support and people sticking to the rules the NHS isn’t going to be able to save you.” #Covid19UK

And if the message below doesn’t keep us all here in Waverley away from meeting up with your friends or family tonight, for a New Year’s Eve celebration – nothing will!

4 thoughts on “Latest detailed Covid data for ‘Your Waverley.’

  1. Remember Terry Waite who was held hostage in Beirut for 1,763 days? He had an enforced lockdown and was held in solitary confinement for most of this period.
    But speaking on the radio recently, he said what’s the big deal if we miss out one Christmas or New Year? There are worst things in life…..being on a ventilator gasping for breath is one of them. See sense – stay safe!

  2. I note that Mr Hyman has signed off the spreadsheets “Author: Cllr Jerry Hyman” (with his Waverley Borough Council email address) So is it safe to assume that Mr Hyman provided these spreadsheets to Councillors and the Public on an official capacity, acting upon WBC’s instructions?

    • Of that we are unsure. Though we suspect that any light that can be shone upon the rates of infection by any Waverley councillor has to be appreciated by the public. We found the in-depth statistical information very useful, as it revealed the hotspots in the borough. We have heard on private e-mails that many Farnham and some Cranleigh people have found it very helpful. It makes us all very wary of what we do and how we live doesn’t it? We are not aware that on the official WBC website there such detailed information. Well done Cllr Hyman for the hard work this must have entailed.

      • I don’t question Mr Hyman’s motives or his skill with Excel, and he should be congratulated for his endeavours.
        However, it may well be that the reasons no other Councillor at WBC has produced such reports could be:
        1.They don’t possess any qualifications in statistical modelling
        2.They don’t have access to all the data required to produce a
        high degree of reliability
        3.They don’t have access to third party verification to check their
        validity
        One of the problems in getting down to such local granularity (using small numbers), is that as the variables change quickly over short periods, so the results can swing wildly in any direction.
        Whilst I understand the wish for us all to see what is happening in our own particular local area. Personally, I would prefer to rely on the Surrey CC Covid Dashboard which is updated daily, rather than unverified spreadsheets produced by a gifted amateur.
        (It should be noted that Surrey County Council are the responsible authority for providing the public with local Covid Data, not Waverley Borough Council) There is also access here to bi-weekly in depth reporting:
        https://www.surreycc.gov.uk/people-and-community/emergency-planning-and-community-safety/coronavirus/alert-levels-and-local-outbreak-plan/figures-and-statistics/daily-data

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